Xi Jinping denies the timetable for using force against Taiwan. US strategic experts: China is waiting for the opportunity | Chronicle of major events at home and abroad | China

Chinese President Xi Jinping denied in the United States that he has plans to attack Taiwan in 2027 or 2035. U.S. strategic and security experts said that this shows that China believes that now is not the right time to escalate tensions and is buying time for future military actions.

Xi Jinping held talks with US President Joe Biden on the 15th. After the meeting, US officials revealed that Xi Jinping said that he had heard various reports from the United States that China plans to take military action in 2027 or 2035, “but there is no such plan at all. No one mentioned such a plan to him”. U.S. officials described Xi Jinping as “appearing to be a little angry” when he made these remarks.

Voice of America reported on the 18th that Andrew A. Michta, director of the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security at the Atlantic Council, a Washington think tank, believed that Xi Jinping’s remarks showed that China The authorities believe that this is not the right time to escalate tensions, but at the same time are buying time for future military action.

He said that Xi Jinping meant that the Chinese leadership has decided that now is not the time to really have another confrontation and that they are working to deescalate these tensions. Like the Russian military buildup, China’s military buildup is not aimed at deterrence. , “actually preparing for offensive operations.”

He said that the potential conflict between the United States and China in the Indo-Pacific region is part of a global battlefield that may gradually take shape, with the United States and its democratic allies on one side and Russia, China, North Korea and Iran on the other. Structural problems will remain, and they will not be solved by a single bilateral meeting between President Xi Jinping and President Biden.

In addition, one of the main achievements of this visit to Xi is the restoration of the communication mechanism between the two militaries.

But Eric Hundman, a senior research analyst at the China Research Department of BluePath Labs, a U.S. security and defense consultancy, said the resumption of the military exchange mechanism at least represents a pause in the deterioration of relations. But these dialogue mechanisms do not have much weight in improving communication between the two militaries.

He Shurui said that China’s history proves that when a crisis does occur, these talks and communication channels are usually not used.

Dennis Wilder, a senior researcher at Georgetown University and a former White House National Security Council official, said at a seminar on November 16 that China only gave a “half-set” commitment to restarting military communication channels, and the two sides only restarted working-level maritime affairs. The discussion did not reopen to more strategic discussions between the U.S. Department of Defense and the Central Military Commission of the Communist Party of China.

In addition, Richard Fisher, Jr., a senior researcher at the International Assessment and Strategy Center, a US think tank, said that the United States’ efforts to pursue dialogue with the Chinese People’s Liberation Army in order to enhance mutual trust between the two militaries have so far proven to be meaningless.

Fisher said the Chinese military has no power under the leadership of the Communist Party of China; the Communist Party of China has full power over the People’s Liberation Army.