Iran launched about 300 missiles and drones towards Israel earlier this month, 99% of which were intercepted. Choi Yoo-sik, director of the Northeast Asia Institute of the South Korean media Chosun Ilbo, wrote an article on the 22nd. This result may cause the collapse of the “missile preemption theory” and also make Taiwan is more confident because “Taiwan’s air defense system cannot be underestimated.” He also said that China may be thinking hard or adjusting its plan.
On the 14th of this month, Iran launched about 300 missiles and drones from its territory towards Israel. In addition to the Israeli military, the US and Jordanian military also assisted in intercepting the missiles. 99% of the Iranian missiles were intercepted and shot down.
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“Chosun Ilbo” Choi You-sik “Taiwan ‘can intercept Chinese missiles’…Butterfly effect of 99% interception by Israel”
Choi You-sik, director of the Northeast Asia Institute of Chosun Ilbo, published in the media on the 26th that “Taiwan ‘can intercept Chinese missiles’…the butterfly effect of 99% interception by Israel.” The article stated that China originally expected to invest more than a thousand missiles in the early stages of the invasion to preemptively and quickly The landing was carried out quickly and decisively, but now there are voices that “perhaps it should be re-researched”. The Chinese social media public account “Hotline International Insight” published an article on the 16th, “The interception rate is 99%! Israel’s results warn the People’s Liberation Army that Taiwan’s air defense system cannot be underestimated.”
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Cui Youzhi pointed out that China has deployed as many as 1,500 missiles against Taiwan, including the short-range ballistic missile Dongfeng-15. China believes that the rain of missiles will make Taiwan lose its will to fight. However, the results of this battle have given Taiwan confidence that if the United States and Japan help The ability of Israel to intercept missiles and drones on a large scale will change the situation of the war.
Cui Youzhi analyzed that although Taiwan’s air defense system does not reach the level of Israel, it should not be underestimated. In order to deal with Chinese ballistic missiles, Taiwan has actually deployed the “Taiwanese version of THAAD” Tiangong III missiles and Patriot 3 surface-to-air missiles, raising the interception altitude from 45 kilometers to 70 kilometers. It has also developed a missile that can intercept at the terminal stage. The improved Tiangong-3 of the Dongfeng-17 that changed its trajectory will be put into mass production this year.
Faced with fighter jets, drones, low-altitude cruise missiles, etc., Taiwan uses the “Lu Jian II” and “Hai Jian II” short-range air defense missiles modified from the air-to-air “Sky Sword” to respond. In addition, Taiwan is in procurement negotiations with the United States to build a missile defense system similar to Israel’s Iron Dome. China’s “Hotline International Insights” said that the Israeli air defense system “integrates multiple air defense systems such as Iron Dome, Patriot 3, Arrow 2 and Arrow 3, as well as fighter jets. Direct interception capabilities form an effective multi-layered protection network.”
However, Cui Youzhi also pointed out that there is a big difference between “Iran and Israel” and “Taiwan and China”. The former is more than 1,000 kilometers apart, while Taiwan and China are only 180 kilometers away. Taiwan’s response time to missiles is much shorter; while the military capabilities of China and Iran are also The difference is that China has 1,500 missiles targeting Taiwan, which is five times the number of 300 missiles and drones used by Iran this time. Furthermore, Iran informed its neighboring countries of its attack plan in advance.
Cui Youzhi pointed out that Taiwan’s strategy is to cooperate with the United States and Japan to maximize the stockpile of anti-aircraft missiles at all levels to deal with the worst-case scenario. At the end of his article, he quoted Larry Wortzel, former vice president of the American think tank “Heritage Foundation” and director of the Center for Asian Policy Research. Wortzel said that with this Iranian attack, “Taiwan should realize that ‘Taiwan should have complete missiles, “UAV defense network and counterattack system”, this also reminds China that if the defensive side has a strong will to resist, no matter how powerful the missile inventory is, success cannot be guaranteed. “
